ALBANY- It's looking grim for Mark Murphy - and maybe for President Obama too.
Rep. Michael Grimm has widened his lead over Democratic challenger Murphy, while GOP standardbearer Mitt Romney has reversed Obama's advantage in New York's 11th congressional district in Brooklyn and Staten Island, a new poll has found.
Republican Grimm cracked the 50 percent barrier in the new Siena College poll out today, leading Murphy 52-34 percent - up from 48-38 percent in a Siena survey five weeks ago.
Meantime Romney reversed Obama's 49-45 lead from the earlier poll and now holds a 49-46 percent edge in the heavily Democratic but conservative-leaning district, the pre-Hurricane Sandy survey found
Romney also wiped out Obama's five-point lead in another bellweather district upstate, now holding a 49-45 percent advantage after trailing Sept. 10.
Independent voters fueled the swing for Grimm and now favor him by 30 points, the Oct. 27-28 telephone survey of 627 likely voters shows.
Meantime in a hard-fought Northern New York district, independents moved significantly toward Republican challenger Matt Doheny, pulling him into a virtual tie with incumbent Democrat Bill Owens, a separate Siena poll found.
Owens holds a statistically insignificant 44-43 percent lead after having led Doheny 49-36 on Sept. 10. Doheny had trailed Owens by 30 points among independents, but now holds a two-point lead among voters not enrolled in a party.
Siena also found Rep. Louise Slaughter (D-Rochester) widened her lead over Monroe County Executive Maggie Brooks to 52-42 - up from 49-44 on Oct. 14. The president maintained his 13-point lead in Slaughter's district.
The Grimm-Murphy poll has a margin of error of 3.9 percentage points.
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